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December 20, 2006
New report predicts more foreclosures
A new report by the non-profit Center for Responsible Lending, an important ally of ours in the fight for fair financial practices, predicts that 1 in 5 recent subprime mortgage loans will end up in foreclosure (New York Times). From the CRL release: CRL finds that despite low interest rates and a favorable economic environment during the past several years, the subprime market has experienced high foreclosure rates, and we project that one out of five (19.4%) subprime loans issued during 2005-2006 will fail. The report discusses a number of factors that drive subprime foreclosures--these include adjustable rate mortgages with steep built-in rate and payment increases, prepayment penalties, limited income documentation, and no escrow for taxes and insurance. We also determine that these features cause a higher risk of default regardless of the borrower's credit score. The Center offers a new fact sheet for consumers: Shopping for a loan? Do your homework. During the news conference, the Center's director, Mike Calhoun, went into greater detail on the particular problem of so-called 2/28 adjustable rate loans:
Today about 80 percent of all subprime loans come with adjustable rates. A majority of these are 2/28 mortgages, known as "exploding ARMs," which begin with a temporary low fixed payment, but then shift to an adjustable rate payment that rises dramatically . After the introductory low payment ends, the monthly payment on these loans jumps by 30 to 40%--a significant amount for any family. In addition, many of these loans come with expensive prepayment penalties--meaning the homeowner must pay thousands of dollars when forced to refinance to avoid the unaffordable high payments. To top it off, subprime lenders often approve these loans without considering whether the borrower can actually afford the loan when scheduled payment increases occur or even documenting the amount of the borrower's income.
All of these loan features--adjustable rates, prepayment penalties and limited income documentation--increase the risk of foreclosure significantly. In fact, our study shows that the risk on an ARM versus a fixed-rate mortgage is 72% higher. That's an increased risk regardless of the borrower's credit.
Posted by Ed Mierzwinski at December 20, 2006 06:22 AM
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