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U.S. PIRG Consumer Blog
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July 12, 2008
Speculative oil price bubble?
Get any email from your frequent flyer program lately urging you to take action on oil prices? Today's Wall Street Journal has an article about the airlines' joint campaign www.stopoilspeculationnow.com against oil price speculation. The story Airline Oil Lobbying Alarms Financial Firms (pd subs. req'd) by Elizabeth Williamson says: Many economists join financiers in saying the attacks on speculators, while politically appealing, make little economic sense. They say speculation is less responsible for spiraling oil prices than is turmoil in supplier countries and the weakness of the dollar on world markets. Yet, in his recent testimony before the House Select Committee on Energy Independence and Global Warming , Dr. Mark Cooper of the Consumer Federation of America argued that the speculative bubble could account for "about one-third of the world price," based on Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations reports and other data.
Dr. Cooper says: The upward pressure that speculation puts on prices is not limited to crude, but applies to the whole energy complex and recent months have seen sharp increases in gasoline prices despite weakening fundamentals.[...]Growing global demand certainly has played a role in triggering the price spiral of recent years, but in a well-functioning market, steadily growing demand would not cause such a powerful upward surge in prices and a huge increase in volatility (see Attachment 5). It is the failure on the supply-side to invest, mergers resulting in highly concentrated markets, and barriers to entry that have allowed the cartel and the oligopoly to profit at the expense of the public. Speculation magnifies the upward spiral. The airline-backed coalition, and senior members of Congress, back changes to the rules of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to reduce the impact of speculation. PIRG has long backed some of these reforms, including unsuccessful efforts to close the Enron loophole opened during the reign of then-CFTC chair Wendy Gramm and to reverse later amendments to the CFTC championed by her husband, former Senator Phil Gramm (R-TX). These issues are explained in this recent Texas Observer article by Patricia Hart and a recent "Fresh Air" interview with Professor Michael Greenberger.
Posted by Ed Mierzwinski at July 12, 2008 01:50 PM
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